R2018-45 Amendment to the Professional Services Agreement with Quetica LLC for Decatur Supply Chain Study CP 2014-06

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DUATS Travel Demand Socio-Economic Data Update (4-26-18) Task 1: DUATS Travel Demand Model Socio-Economic Data Update and Forecast The first task would involve developing coordinating with the DUATS staff to update the following socio- economic data elements to a base year(2015) and forecast year(2040): • Planning Area Population (by jurisdiction); • Single-Family Residential Units • Multi-Family Residential Units • Office Space (square feet,employment) • Industrial Space (square feet, employment) • Retail Space (square feet, employment) • Hotel/Motel Rooms • Non-College School Enrollment • Park(acres) • Hospital Beds • College Enrollment Each of these demographics will be allocable to Traffic Analysis Zones(TAZs)within the DUATS MPO planning area.The MPO will provide the base-year 2015 GIS layers and any existing databases containing demographic characteristics. The consultant will review and assemble county level population and employment projections prepared by Illinois Department of Economic Security, Bureau of Economic Analysis, and other sources,such as the Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics(LEND) developed by the U.S. Census. We will also assemble business establishment data from the Economic Development Corporation of Decatur and Macon County. The consultant will also assemble available inventory data about hotel rooms, hospital beds and school enrollment from available sources. The resulting socio-economic dataset will be assembled by TAZ for the base year 2015. Once base year data is assembled,data summaries in table and map formats will be presented to planning staff at DUATS,City of Decatur, Macon County, members of the Economic Development Corporation,and other public and private entities such as the Greater Decatur Chamber of Commerce,school districts,and utilities for vetting and feedback. Due to the short time horizon for the project,we suggest disseminating the summary information by email, and then hosting a webinar to review the data and seek feedback. Webinar participants will have up to one week to provide further feedback by email or phone. The consultant will also assemble forecast information for future year 2040 from state,federal and commercial sources to understand community expectations for future growth During the data summary and review webinar,we will also seek feedback on public and commercial projections for changes to population, industrial employment and freight demand. Based on input generated during the webinar, balanced with the state projections for the area,we will develop our initial recommendations for growth and changes in population and employment for review 1